Category: Polls (Page 1 of 3)

POLL: How many games will the Spurs win this season?

Does it really matter, as long as they’re back in the Finals next June?

Last Friday, I got a series of texts from Andrew about our first poll of the season.

Andrew wrote:

“When a team adds a blockbuster player, immediate expectations tend to be very high. In truth, there is an initial term where the team needs to learn how to adjust to its new players that can result in unexpected loses. Historically, the Spurs’ record is always impressive when they are not considered the top dogs – none of the top NBA analysts are even picking Coach Pop’s squad to come out of the Western Playoff gauntlet. However, with such high profile summer acquisitions as Aldridge and West, as well as an impressive streak of playoff appearances, how ‘under the radar’ is San Antonio this year?”

I agree with Andrew about expectations — they’re running extremely high among all the Spurs fans I know, despite the team’s lackluster preseason performances.

I also agree that the team is facing a pretty steep learning curve, and will likely lose some games early while they’re adjusting to two major new players in the rotations.

But things couldn’t be worse than they were last December, could they?

We all know how good the Spurs have been historically, particularly during the Tim Duncan era: 18 winning seasons, 18 playoff appearances, 17 50+ win seasons, 6-time Western Conference Champions, 5 Titles.

But winning games hasn’t always meant winning championships. In fact, wins and titles are poorly correlated for the Spurs.

In franchise history, the Spurs have won 60 or more games a total of 5 times: 1994-1995, 2002-2003, 2005-2006, 2010-2011, and 2013-2014. Only twice (’03 and ’14) did those seasons end with rings.

The Spurs won titles in 2005 and 2007, despite only winning 58 and 59 games, respectively.

So while we’re asking you to predict how many games the Spurs will win, a better question to ask might be, what seed will the Spurs be in the playoffs? We’ll ask that next Spring.

[poll id=”10″]

POLL: Which Players Will Have the Most Impact This Season?

With a team like our San Antonio Spurs, it’s often difficult to say any single player is the best, or the most important, or the most valuable.

Then again, we all know that this team, despite it’s egalitarianism, has always rested firmly on the shoulders of one player when it comes to crunch time and playoff success.

From 1998 to 2005, that player was Tim Duncan. No one would argue otherwise.

In the 2007 playoffs, Tony Parker became the man, leading the Spurs to a four game sweep of the Cavaliers in the Finals on his way to being awarded the Finals MVP.

For a few weeks in 2010, Manu Ginobili was arguably the best player on the planet. Remember when Manu scored 38 against the Cavaliers, 38 against the Hawks, and 43 against Dwight Howard and the Orlando Magic? How could you forget?!?

And in the 2014 playoffs, we watched the rise of Kawhi Leonard, who surprised the league, but not us, when he won the Finals MVP.

So returning to our question: who will have the most impact this season?

There are many ways to measure a player’s impact, or value. One of the most popular and widely cited is Hollinger’s Player Efficiency Rating (PER), which calculates a player’s per-minute productivity using a player’s positive (e.g. field goals) and negative (e.g. turnovers) accomplishments.

According to Hollinger, the most efficient Spurs last season were: Tim Duncan (22.69) and Kawhi Leonard (22.09). (Note: LaMarcus Aldridge’s PER with the Blazers was 22.85 — 11th best in the NBA.)

In previous seasons, these Spurs player’s PER ranked among the top 50 in the NBA:

  • 2014: Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili, Kawhi Leonard, Tony Parker, Patty Miils
  • 2013: Tim Duncan, Tony Parker, Manu Ginobili, Tiago Splitter
  • 2012: Manu Ginobili, Tim Duncan, Tony Parker, Tiago Splitter
  • 2011: Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker

Another way to consider a single player’s impact is Win Shares, or how many wins a player contributed. By that metric, the best players recently have been:

  • 2015: Duncan, Leonard, Green, Joseph, Parker
  • 2014: Leonard, Duncan, Bellinelli, Parker, Ginobili
  • 2013: Parker, Duncan, Splitter, Leonard, Green
  • 2012: Parker, Duncan, Leonard, Splitter, Green
  • 2011: Ginobili, Parker, Duncan, Hill, Jefferson

Here are the players currently on the Spurs roster for this season:

Spurs-roster-2015-2016

Based on the criteria above, or however you gauge things, what do you think?

[poll id=”9″]

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